Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/11/2025]

The Kansas City Royals will square off with the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:10PM ET.

Seth Lugo (3-3, 2.84 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Royals, while the Red Sox have opted for Lucas Giolito (0-1, 8.38 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Royals as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Boston-Kansas City game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Royals with a win probability of 54%, while the Red Sox have 46%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Red Sox vs. Royals predictions page.

Royals vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Royals 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Royals a 54% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 55% chance of staying under.

Red Sox vs. Royals Odds [5/11/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Red Sox	Royals
Run Line	+1.5 (-182)	-1.5 (+165)
Moneyline	+116	-134
Total	o9 (-102)	u9 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Red Sox vs. Royals Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Royals matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Red Sox vs. Royals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Royals and Red Sox at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:10PM ET.

• Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 2:10PM ET/11:10AM PT
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Red Sox vs. Royals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Boston vs. Kansas City picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Royals, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Royals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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