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Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [1/9/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

Boston Bruins-Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Game Preview.
Amalie Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning this Thursday.

NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as the Boston Bruins square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Boston-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lightning with a win probability of 59% and the Bruins with 41%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bruins vs. Lightning predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20HOCKEY at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Bruins vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's game between the Lightning and Bruins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Bruins vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Boston vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Bruins and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 59% chance of beating the Bruins.

According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Bruins vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bruins Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +142 -164
Total o5.5 (-125) u5.5 (+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bruins vs. Lightning Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Bruins vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bruins vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Bruins vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Bruins vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point a 9.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 43.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Boston Bruins

Player First Goal Probability
David Pastrnak 8.2%
Brad Marchand 4.5%
Morgan Geekie 4.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 9.2%
Jake Guentzel 7.9%
Nikita Kucherov 7.0%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Boston Bruins

Player Anytime Goal Probability
David Pastrnak 38.6%
Brad Marchand 24.7%
Morgan Geekie 21.4%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 43.7%
Jake Guentzel 38.1%
Brandon Hagel 32.5%

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Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bruins vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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