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Bills vs. Jets Week 1 Prediction and Odds - September 11, 2023

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Written by Dimers Data
Bills vs. Jets Week 1 Prediction and Odds - September 11, 2023

The New York Jets and Buffalo Bills will meet in Week 1 of the NFL season at MetLife Stadium on Monday, with kickoff at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Bills vs. Jets, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Today's Buffalo vs. NY Jets betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Who Will Win: Bills vs. Jets

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Bills-Jets NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bills a 65% chance of winning against the Jets in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Bills vs. Jets Simulated 10,000 Times

Bills vs. Jets Odds

  • Spread: Jets +2.5 (-105), Bills -2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Jets +120, Bills -135
  • Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-105)

The Jets are listed as +2.5 underdogs versus the Bills, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Bills (-2.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at +120. That means you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -135, where you can risk $135 to win $100, for a total payout of $235, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bills (-2.5) have a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 44.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 1 Matchup

Best Bets: Bills vs. Jets

 

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Bills vs. Jets Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Buffalo vs. NY Jets at MetLife Stadium in Week 1 has the Bills winning 24-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Bills-Jets game in Week 1, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Jets Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs. Jets? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Jets, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Monday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first TD in Bills vs. Jets.

DimersBOT gives Diggs an 8.7% chance of scoring the first TD at MetLife Stadium, while the Bills WR is a 37.4% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 8.7% probability
  • James Cook: 7.9% probability
  • Josh Allen: 7.2% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 6.2% probability
  • Damien Harris: 4.8% probability

New York Jets

  • Dalvin Cook: 8.1% probability
  • Garrett Wilson: 7.1% probability
  • Breece Hall: 6.7% probability
  • Allen Lazard: 4.7% probability
  • Mecole Hardman: 4.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 37.4% probability
  • James Cook: 33.7% probability
  • Josh Allen: 31.8% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 28.4% probability
  • Damien Harris: 22.4% probability

New York Jets

  • Dalvin Cook: 34.7% probability
  • Garrett Wilson: 31.9% probability
  • Breece Hall: 29.1% probability
  • Mecole Hardman: 21.7% probability
  • Allen Lazard: 21.6% probability

Bills-Jets Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 234 passing yards. The Jets' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 234 yards.

Bills Starting QB

  • Josh Allen: 234 projected yards

Jets Starting QB

  • Aaron Rodgers: 234 projected yards

Bills Rushing

  • James Cook: 61 projected yards
  • Damien Harris: 40 projected yards
  • Josh Allen: 34 projected yards

Jets Rushing

  • Dalvin Cook: 52 projected yards
  • Breece Hall: 50 projected yards
  • Israel Abanikanda: 10 projected yards

Bills Receiving

  • Stefon Diggs: 75 projected yards
  • Gabe Davis: 46 projected yards
  • Dalton Kincaid: 28 projected yards
  • Deonte Harty: 27 projected yards
  • Dawson Knox: 24 projected yards

Jets Receiving

  • Garrett Wilson: 70 projected yards
  • Allen Lazard: 38 projected yards
  • Randall Cobb: 29 projected yards
  • Tyler Conklin: 25 projected yards
  • Mecole Hardman: 24 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Bills vs. Jets on Monday September 11, 2023.

 

Bills vs. Jets 2023

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Jets and Bills at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Bills vs. Jets picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

Now you've got the 411 on Bills vs. Jets, get the latest analysis for all NFL games via our NFL picks and predictions. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for every single NFL matchup. Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every day of the NFL season.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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