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Bills vs. Jets Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Bills vs. Jets Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay

The 2023 NFL season is here and Dimers has got you covered for Monday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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NFL +811 Same Game Parlay For Monday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown

+150

James Cook Over 42.5 Rushing yards

-110

Randall Cobb Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

-110

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Bills vs. Jets Parlay Analysis

Bills vs. Jets 8:20PM ET

LEG 1: Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown

We get started with the biggest leg of the three, Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown. Diggs is an alpha wide receiver who commands Josh Allen's attention and dominates defensive backs. Outside of Diggs, the Bills receiving corps is underwhelming, with deep threat and one-trick pony Gabe Davis coming off a  disappointing season and a pair of tight ends (one a rookie) as the only major receiving options not counting the backfield.

Diggs has posted career highs in TDs the last two seasons (10 and 11) and though he has a tough matchup with Sauce Gardner and the Jets secondary, our model projects him with a 37% chance to find the endzone in the MNF opener.

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LEG 2: James Cook Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

Sticking with the Bills, we look to their backfield and new "lead back" James Cook to go over his rushing yards line of 42.5. Cook was drafted by the Bills in 2022 and posted a respectable 5.7 YPA in his rookie campaign. The Bills let Devin Singletary walk in the offseason but brought in Damien Harris to split the backfield with Cook. While a three-way split between Cook, Harris and Allen makes it difficult to truly forecast how the pie will be shared, the Bills spent a second-round pick on Cook while Harris is a change-of-pace back who is coming off his least efficient season.

DimersBOT projects Cook to roll past this total with 61 rushing yards tonight, and at a 66.6% probability to go over his line of 42.5, we get a solid 16.6% edge, which is one of the higher edges for any prop in tonight's game.


LEG 3: Randall Cobb Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

For our final leg, we're taking Randall Cobb to go over his modest line of 18.5 receiving yards. Before reuniting with the Jets in the offseason, Cobb and Aaron Rodgers walked off the field in Green Bay for what they thought was their final game played together. Well, things have a way of working themselves out, and now Cobb finds himself as a likely regular target of Rodgers in their new city. 

Cobb has been a safety net for Rodgers for years and outside of Garrett Wilson the only other main threat to his volume is Allen Lazard, who might be the odd man out with Rodgers' new superstar target in Wilson and old friend Cobb. The Bills' defense is going to be forced to do their best to contain Wilson and stop the run game, leaving Cobb with the opportunity to get open underneath and in the middle. Just a couple receptions on crossing routes would get this done for us.

Our model projects Cobb with 68.8% chance to go over his line, and we get a 14.2% edge in the odds as well. We also project Cobb for 30 receiving yards, so this one feels like a no-brainer.

🏈 Bills vs. Jets Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Bills vs. Jets


NFL +811 Same Game Parlay Monday, September 11, 2023

1️⃣ Stefon Diggs Anytime TD
2️⃣ James Cook Over 42.5 Rushing Yards
3️⃣ Randall Cobb Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

The best odds for this SGP are over at Bet365 and are subject to change.

 

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Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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