Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions and Odds - Jan 23, 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round of the 2021 NFL Playoffs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, starting at 6:30PM EST.

Dimers' free betting picks for Bills vs. Chiefs, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed in this article.

This Buffalo vs. Kansas City betting analysis is sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a tasty Bet $5, Win $150 promo for new users during this year's NFL Playoffs.

Who will win Buffalo vs. Kansas City?

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Bills-Chiefs NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs a 55% chance of beating the Bills.

MORE: Full Betting Analysis for Bills vs. Chiefs

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Chiefs are currently -2.5 favorites against the Bills, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Bills (+2.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -106.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -130, which means you can risk $130 to win $100, for a total payout of $230, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at +120, where you can put down $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 54 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bills (+2.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 54 points is a 53% chance of going Under.

MORE: Predictions for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets for Bills vs. Chiefs

• Spread: Bills +2.5 at -106 with FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Bills at +120 with PointsBet
• Over/Under: Under 54 at -105 with DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you make more informed decisions.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Bills moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Buffalo vs. Kansas City Score Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Buffalo vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium this Sunday has the Chiefs prevailing 27-25.

Use our interactive widget below to view up-to-date Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline probabilities and odds for the game, and click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Bills-Chiefs matchup, including pre-game predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Chiefs? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Chiefs, as well as projected player stats.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 2.0% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 4.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

• Buffalo D/ST: 2.0% probability
• Matt Breida: 2.0% probability
• Mitchell Trubisky: 2.0% probability
• Emmanuel Sanders: 2.0% probability
• Stefon Diggs: 2.0% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 2.0% probability
• Kansas D/ST: 2.0% probability
• Marcus Kemp: 2.0% probability
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 2.0% probability
• Michael Burton: 2.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

• Buffalo D/ST: 4.0% probability
• Matt Breida: 4.0% probability
• Mitchell Trubisky: 4.0% probability
• Emmanuel Sanders: 4.0% probability
• Stefon Diggs: 4.0% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 4.0% probability
• Kansas D/ST: 4.0% probability
• Marcus Kemp: 4.0% probability
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 4.0% probability
• Michael Burton: 4.0% probability

Projected Box Score

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to have a big game with 273 passing yards and 2.2 passing touchdowns. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 283 yards and 2.5 TDs.

Bills Starting QB

• Josh Allen: 273 Passing Yards, 2.2 Passing TDs

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 283 Passing Yards, 2.5 Passing TDs

Bills Rushing

• Devin Singletary: 63 Rushing Yards, 0.4 TDs
• Josh Allen: 34 Rushing Yards, 0.4 TDs
• Zack Moss: 15 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs

Chiefs Rushing

• Jerick McKinnon: 33 Rushing Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 30 Rushing Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Patrick Mahomes: 19 Rushing Yards, 0.2 TDs

Bills Receiving

• Stefon Diggs: 69 Receiving Yards, 0.6 TDs
• Gabriel Davis: 40 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Dawson Knox: 37 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Cole Beasley: 32 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Emmanuel Sanders: 27 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 77 Receiving Yards, 0.6 TDs
• Tyreek Hill: 75 Receiving Yards, 0.8 TDs
• Byron Pringle: 41 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Mecole Hardman: 22 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 18 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Bills vs. Chiefs on Sunday January 23, 2022.

Get 30/1 Odds on Bills or Chiefs to Win

FanDuel Sportsbook has come to the party for the NFL Playoffs with 30/1 odds on either the Bills or Chiefs to win on Sunday.

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Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Bills vs. Chiefs 2022 Game Info

When do the Chiefs play the Bills?

• Date: Sunday January 23, 2022
• Time: 6:30PM EST / 3:30PM PST
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? Check out the best sports betting offers in your state.

What NFL games are on tonight?

The Bills and Chiefs aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for each and every NFL game in our NFL Bet Hub page.

Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

Finally, get your Super Bowl party started right with our printable Super Bowl Squares sheet, which you can download and print at home ahead of the Big Game.