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Bills vs. Bears Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022

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Written by Dimers Data
Bills vs. Bears Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022

The Chicago Bears face the favored Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 16 action at Soldier Field on Saturday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Bills vs. Bears, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

 

Who will win Bills vs. Bears?

Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Bills-Bears NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bills an 82% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Bills vs. Bears

Bills vs. Bears Current Odds

  • Spread: Bears +8 (-107), Bills -8 (-107)
  • Moneyline: Bears +330, Bills -350
  • Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Bears are listed as +8 underdogs against the Bills, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Bills (-8) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +330, which means you can throw down $100 to profit $330, earning a total payout of $430, if they win.

On the other hand, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -350, where you can risk $350 to win $100, for a total payout of $450, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, check out all of the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bills (-8) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 40.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center

Best Bets for Bills vs. Bears

 

Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you make more informed decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Bills vs. Bears Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Buffalo vs. Chicago at Soldier Field in Week 16 has the Bills prevailing 24-16.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bills-Bears matchup in Week 16, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Bears Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Bears? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Bears, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first TD in Bills vs. Bears.

DimersBOT gives Diggs a 13.6% chance of getting in for six first at Soldier Field, while the Bills WR is a 47.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 13.6% probability
  • Josh Allen: 8.6% probability
  • Devin Singletary: 7.4% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 7.1% probability
  • Dawson Knox: 7.0% probability

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 10.8% probability
  • David Montgomery: 6.3% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 4.9% probability
  • Velus Jones: 4.0% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 3.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 47.1% probability
  • Josh Allen: 32.5% probability
  • Devin Singletary: 29.6% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 28.4% probability
  • Dawson Knox: 26.8% probability

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 42.0% probability
  • David Montgomery: 27.0% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 20.7% probability
  • Velus Jones: 17.5% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 17.2% probability

Bills-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 255 passing yards. The Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 156 yards.

Bills Starting QB

  • Josh Allen: 255 projected yards

Bears Starting QB

  • Justin Fields: 156 projected yards

Bills Rushing

  • Devin Singletary: 56 projected yards
  • Josh Allen: 43 projected yards
  • James Cook: 28 projected yards

Bears Rushing

  • Justin Fields: 66 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 51 projected yards
  • Khalil Herbert: 48 projected yards

Bills Receiving

  • Stefon Diggs: 79 projected yards
  • Gabe Davis: 47 projected yards
  • Dawson Knox: 38 projected yards
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 30 projected yards
  • James Cook: 19 projected yards

Bears Receiving

  • Dante Pettis: 41 projected yards
  • Cole Kmet: 33 projected yards
  • Byron Pringle: 24 projected yards
  • Velus Jones: 22 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 17 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Bills vs. Bears on Saturday December 24, 2022.

 

Bills vs. Bears 2022

The NFL Week 16 game between the Bears and Bills at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Chicago Bears
  • Date: Saturday December 24, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Soldier Field

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Want more NFL previews like this?

To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Bills vs. Bears, all you've gotta do is visit our NFL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can produce the best NFL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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