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Best English Premier League Soccer Free Betting Picks, EPL Predictions and Parlay: Week 2, 2021-22
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
English Football is back for the second match week of the season, and after a strong start last week, we're amped up and ready to go again with our EPL betting picks.
It's Week 2 of the English Premier League, and, as always, we've simulated all of this week's EPL games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for soccer bettors.
With EPL betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for all the Week 2 games.
Your Week 2 game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our Premier League Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
Our Week 2 EPL best bets and odds are proudly brought to you by PointsBet Sportsbook.
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Free EPL Picks
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
BET: Aston Villa at the moneyline with PointsBet (-125)
📈 57.8% probability
Relegation fancies Newcastle travel to Villa on Saturday with both teams licking their wounds after opening day losses.
For the Magpies, a 4-2 loss at home to West Ham was much more difficult to swallow and are now +200 with PointsBet to go down to the Championship at season's end. Aston Villa should be able to get the win in front of their home fans to heap some misery on United.
MORE: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa betting predictions and picks
Everton vs. Leeds
BET: Total goals UNDER 2.5 with PointsBet (+125)
📈 2.2% edge on the sportsbooks' odds
Like our man, Prospector Sam, we're also taking the Under in the Everton-Leeds game. We could bore you with our data-driven analysis, but instead we'll quote Sam:
Everton largely struggled against a terrible Southampton backline, and it took a couple of top class goals to break away in a game that never should have been close. On the other side of the ball the Toffees looked strong (ignoring an inexcusably stupid mistake for Southampton’s goal that is probably not going to repeat itself), so I don’t think this game is a shoe in to be a shootout. In fact, Everton are likely to want to play for a low scoring game where they slow down the pace and stop Leeds from turning this tie into an end-to-end affair.
Leeds live or die by their aggressive style, which can be useful but is also liable to cause the type of massacre we saw against United on Sunday. The difference here is that Everton aren’t led by world class talent like Pogba or Fernandes, and getting into one of those Russian style slap fights (go look it up on the interweb) to see who can stay conscious longer doesn’t suit their style. While this won’t be a completely dull battle, I think Everton have enough in them tactically to manage the game and keep the chances to a lower number as the better side. At +126 for under 2.5, the number is also overly skewed by the opening week matches that these sides played, which means we’re getting good money for our bet. It’s not my favorite pick of the week if you’re only trying to gamble on a few, but it’s the right play."
MORE: Everton vs. Leeds betting predictions and picks
Leicester vs. West Ham
BET: Leicester at the moneyline with PointsBet (+175)
📈 6.5% edge on the sportsbooks' odds
We'll have to make you wait to cash the last pick of the weekend with the Foxes not taking on the Hammers until Monday local time, but the odds are simply too good to pass up here.
Leicester are coming off an efficient, but not spectacular, win against the Wolves last week to open their account with three points, and West Ham did the same with a convincing 4-2 win away to Newcastle. We'll know a little more about what either team is made of at the conclusion of this one, but for a team that have Champions League aspirations, and with no major squad issues, how can you go past Leicester at some very handy plus money?!
MORE: Leicester vs. West Ham betting predictions and picks
Premier League Parlay
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🔥 Aston Villa ML
🔥 Everton/Leeds u2.5 goals
🔥 Leicester ML
💰Parlay with PointsBet sportsbook (+1013)
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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