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Bears vs. Lions Week 17 Prediction and Odds - Jan 1, 2023

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Written by Dimers Data
Bears vs. Lions Week 17 Prediction and Odds - Jan 1, 2023

The Detroit Lions face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 17 action at Ford Field on New Year's Day, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Bears vs. Lions, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

 

Who will win Bears vs. Lions?

Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Bears-Lions NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lions a 61% chance of getting the W against the Bears in Week 17 of the NFL season.

More: Bears vs. Lions Simulated 10K Times

Bears vs. Lions Current Odds

  • Spread: Lions -5 (-110), Bears +5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Lions -200, Bears +195
  • Total: Over/Under 53 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lions are -5 favorites versus the Bears, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Bears (+5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at -200, which means you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +195, where you can bet $100 to profit $195, earning a total payout of $295, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 53 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bears (+5) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 53 points is a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Bears vs. Lions

 

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in the United States.

While the Lions are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Bears moneyline is the best option due to the 4.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Bears vs. Lions Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Chicago vs. Detroit at Ford Field in Week 17 has the Lions winning 27-24.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Bears-Lions matchup in Week 17, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live updates.

Bears vs. Lions Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bears vs. Lions? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bears and Lions, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Detroit's Jamaal Williams is most likely to score the first TD in Bears vs. Lions.

DimersBOT gives Williams a 13.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 57.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 12.5% probability
  • David Montgomery: 8.3% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 6.1% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 5.7% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 3.7% probability

Detroit Lions

  • Jamaal Williams: 13.6% probability
  • D'Andre Swift: 8.5% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.5% probability
  • DJ Chark: 6.8% probability
  • Josh Reynolds: 5.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 56.2% probability
  • David Montgomery: 40.2% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 32.2% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 29.6% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 21.4% probability

Detroit Lions

  • Jamaal Williams: 57.4% probability
  • D'Andre Swift: 42.7% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 41.5% probability
  • DJ Chark: 35.4% probability
  • Josh Reynolds: 29.2% probability

Bears-Lions Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected to have a quiet game with 182 passing yards. The Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for a whopping 292 yards.

Bears Starting QB

  • Justin Fields: 182 projected yards

Lions Starting QB

  • Jared Goff: 292 projected yards

Bears Rushing

  • Justin Fields: 76 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 53 projected yards
  • Khalil Herbert: 51 projected yards

Lions Rushing

  • Jamaal Williams: 53 projected yards
  • D'Andre Swift: 40 projected yards
  • Craig Reynolds: 12 projected yards

Bears Receiving

  • Chase Claypool: 57 projected yards
  • Cole Kmet: 41 projected yards
  • Equanimeous St. Brown: 29 projected yards
  • Dante Pettis: 20 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 20 projected yards

Lions Receiving

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 100 projected yards
  • DJ Chark: 55 projected yards
  • D'Andre Swift: 38 projected yards
  • Josh Reynolds: 37 projected yards
  • Brock Wright: 22 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Bears vs. Lions on Sunday January 1, 2023.

 

Bears vs. Lions 2023

The NFL Week 17 action between the Lions and Bears at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions
  • Date: Sunday January 1, 2023
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Ford Field

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Want more NFL previews like this?

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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