Bears vs. Falcons Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

NFL Week 11 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Chicago Bears take on the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Dimers' top betting picks for Bears vs. Falcons, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

Who will win Bears vs. Falcons?

Using trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Bears-Falcons NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Falcons a 55% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 11 of the NFL season.

More: Bears vs. Falcons Simulated 10,000 Times

Bears vs. Falcons Week 11 Odds

• Spread: Falcons -2.5 (-105), Bears +2.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Falcons -120, Bears +120
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Falcons are currently -2.5 favorites versus the Bears, with -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Bears (+2.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on the market at -105.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at -120. That means you can risk $120 to win $100, for a total payout of $220, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +120, where you can put down $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bears (+2.5) are a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point Over/Under is a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Free Online Bet Tracking Tool

Best Bets for Bears vs. Falcons

• Spread: Bears +2.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (58% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Falcons @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook (55% probability)
• Total: Under 48.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (55% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best bets of the day across any sport.

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to help you make more informed decisions with the legal sportsbooks in the USA.

Bears vs. Falcons Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Chicago vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 11 has the Falcons winning 24-23.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bears-Falcons matchup in Week 11, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Bears vs. Falcons Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Falcons? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bears and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Cordarrelle Patterson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Falcons.

DimersBOT gives Patterson a 10.9% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 47.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 10.9% probability
• David Montgomery: 10.7% probability
• Cole Kmet: 7.1% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 6.2% probability
• Chase Claypool: 5.0% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 10.9% probability
• Marcus Mariota: 6.5% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 6.1% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 6.0% probability
• Drake London: 6.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 49.4% probability
• David Montgomery: 46.8% probability
• Cole Kmet: 34.0% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 29.6% probability
• Chase Claypool: 25.0% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 47.5% probability
• Marcus Mariota: 31.1% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 30.3% probability
• Drake London: 29.4% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 28.9% probability

Bears-Falcons Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected to have a quiet game with 184 passing yards, while the Falcons' Marcus Mariota is expected to throw for 198 yards.

Bears Starting QB

• Justin Fields: 184 projected yards

Falcons Starting QB

• Marcus Mariota: 198 projected yards

Bears Rushing

• Justin Fields: 65 projected yards
• David Montgomery: 62 projected yards
• Trestan Ebner: 13 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 61 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 46 projected yards
• Marcus Mariota: 43 projected yards

Bears Receiving

• Darnell Mooney: 57 projected yards
• Cole Kmet: 38 projected yards
• Chase Claypool: 33 projected yards
• David Montgomery: 28 projected yards
• Dante Pettis: 17 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

• Drake London: 43 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 43 projected yards
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 28 projected yards
• Cordarrelle Patterson: 23 projected yards
• Damiere Byrd: 22 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting insights before Bears vs. Falcons on Sunday November 20, 2022.

Bears vs. Falcons 2022

The NFL Week 11 action between the Falcons and Bears at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday November 20, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!