Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction: Baltimore favored to win in NFL Week 4, 2025

The Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens are scheduled to meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Ravens-Chiefs game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Ravens with a win probability of 58%, while the Chiefs have 42%."

This gameday Ravens vs. Chiefs betting preview builds on my Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction that was released earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Ravens vs. Chiefs predictions page.

Ravens vs. Chiefs Predictions

Since our Ravens-Chiefs predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Ravens and Chiefs 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 58% chance of beating the Chiefs in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 25-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Ravens and Chiefs each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Ravens vs. Chiefs odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ravens	Chiefs
Spread	-2.5 (-115)	+2.5 (+100)
Moneyline	-148	+130
Total	o48.5 (-110)	u48.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Ravens vs. Chiefs picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Ravens vs. Chiefs matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Ravens vs. Chiefs TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first TD in Ravens vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Henry a 13.5% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Ravens running back is a 56.2% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	13.5%
Zay Flowers (WR)	7.1%
Mark Andrews (TE)	5.5%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Kareem Hunt (RB)	6.6%
Xavier Worthy (WR)	6.5%
Travis Kelce (TE)	5.7%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	56.2%
Zay Flowers (WR)	35.4%
Mark Andrews (TE)	28.4%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Kareem Hunt (RB)	31.8%
Xavier Worthy (WR)	31.5%
Travis Kelce (TE)	28.0%

Ravens vs Chiefs player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Chiefs. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Ravens-Chiefs page now to access every player prop projection.

Ravens vs. Chiefs quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes.

Ravens rushing

Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and Justice Hill are projected to be the leading rushers for the Ravens.

Player	Position
Derrick Henry	RB
Lamar Jackson	QB
Justice Hill	RB

Chiefs rushing

Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt and Patrick Mahomes are expected to lead the Chiefs in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Isiah Pacheco	RB
Kareem Hunt	RB
Patrick Mahomes	QB

Ravens receiving

Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely and DeAndre Hopkins are projected to top the receiving yards for the Ravens.

Player	Position
Zay Flowers	WR
Rashod Bateman	WR
Mark Andrews	TE
Isaiah Likely	TE
DeAndre Hopkins	WR

Chiefs receiving

Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, Travis Kelce, Tyquan Thornton and JuJu Smith-Schuster are projected to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Xavier Worthy	WR
Hollywood Brown	WR
Travis Kelce	TE
Tyquan Thornton	WR
JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR

Ravens vs. Chiefs game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Chiefs and Ravens at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Dimers' in-depth preview of this week's Ravens vs. Chiefs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ravens vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Chiefs in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ravens vs. Chiefs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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