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Orioles vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [8/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Monday's Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies matchup.
The Philadelphia Phillies will square off with the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Monday, beginning at 6:45PM ET.
The Phillies will start Jesús Luzardo (9-5, 4.31 ERA), while the Orioles have opted for Cade Povich (2-5, 5.15 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.
For expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Orioles vs. Phillies predictions page.
Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Orioles and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 63% chance of defeating the Orioles.
According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Orioles vs. Phillies Odds [8/4/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Orioles | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-101) |
| Moneyline | +172 | -201 |
| Total | o9 (-120) | u9 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Orioles vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Orioles vs. Phillies matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.
Orioles vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's MLB action between the Phillies and Orioles at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 6:45PM ET.
- Who: Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
- Time: 6:45PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Orioles vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Orioles vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orioles vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the latest predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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