Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/27/2025]

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid are scheduled to meet in La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:15AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Real Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid predictions page.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 34.7% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 40.2% chance for Real Madrid, and a 25.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atletico Madrid	Real Madrid	Draw
+215	+125	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-140	+114

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ATM 1-1 MAD	11.8%
ATM 1-2 MAD	8.7%
ATM 0-1 MAD	8.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.5% chance that both teams scoring, and a 42.5% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's La Liga action between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:15AM ET.

• Who: Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid
• Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
• Time: 10:15AM ET/7:15AM PT
• Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Saturday's Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 34.7% win probability on Saturday, Real Madrid has a 40.2% win probability, and there is a 25.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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