Falcons vs. Panthers prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win in NFL Week 3, 2025

The Carolina Panthers will face the favored Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 3 action at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Falcons as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Falcons-Panthers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 64%, while the Panthers have 36%."

This gameday Falcons vs. Panthers betting preview builds on my Falcons vs. Panthers prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Falcons vs. Panthers predictions page.

Falcons vs. Panthers Predictions

Since our Falcons-Panthers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Panthers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Falcons a 64% chance of beating the Panthers in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 23-19.

According to our model, the Panthers (+5.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Falcons vs. Panthers odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Falcons	Panthers
Spread	-5.5 (-105)	+5.5 (-115)
Moneyline	-225	+200
Total	o44.5 (-105)	u44.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Falcons vs. Panthers picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Falcons vs. Panthers matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Falcons vs. Panthers TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Panthers?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Panthers.

Our projections give Robinson a 19.3% chance of getting in for six first at Bank of America Stadium, while the Falcons running back is a 59.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson (RB)	19.3%
Drake London (WR)	8.2%
Tyler Allgeier (RB)	6.3%

Carolina Panthers

Player	First TD Probability
Chuba Hubbard (RB)	13.3%
Tetairoa McMillan (WR)	7.3%
Hunter Renfrow (WR)	4.7%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson (RB)	59.9%
Drake London (WR)	32.1%
Tyler Allgeier (RB)	25.9%

Carolina Panthers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Chuba Hubbard (RB)	48.3%
Tetairoa McMillan (WR)	30.2%
Hunter Renfrow (WR)	20.8%

Falcons vs Panthers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Panthers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Falcons-Panthers page now to access every player prop projection.

Falcons vs. Panthers quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Michael Penix is projected to throw for more yards than the Panthers' Bryce Young.

Falcons rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Michael Penix are projected to be the leading rushers for the Falcons.

Player	Position
Bijan Robinson	RB
Tyler Allgeier	RB
Michael Penix	QB

Panthers rushing

Chuba Hubbard, Rico Dowdle and Bryce Young are expected to lead the Panthers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Chuba Hubbard	RB
Rico Dowdle	RB
Bryce Young	QB

Falcons receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to top the receiving yards for the Falcons.

Player	Position
Drake London	WR
Darnell Mooney	WR
Kyle Pitts	TE
Bijan Robinson	RB
Ray-Ray McCloud	WR

Panthers receiving

Tetairoa McMillan, Hunter Renfrow, Ja'Tavion Sanders, David Moore and Chuba Hubbard are projected to lead the Panthers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Tetairoa McMillan	WR
Hunter Renfrow	WR
Ja'Tavion Sanders	TE
David Moore	WR
Chuba Hubbard	RB

Falcons vs. Panthers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Panthers and Falcons at Bank of America Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Bank of America Stadium

Dimers' full preview of this week's Falcons vs. Panthers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Falcons vs. Panthers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Falcons vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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