Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Aryna Sabalenka will take on Jessica Pegula in the semifinals of the US Open Women's Singles 2025 on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the match.

For further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sabalenka vs. Pegula predictions page.

Sabalenka vs. Pegula prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Sabalenka-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Sabalenka a 75% chance of beating Pegula in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Sabalenka has a 71% chance of winning the first set, while the under 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sabalenka	Pegula
Moneyline	-325	+270
First Set	-250	+200
Total Games	o21.5 (-115)	u21.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sabalenka vs. Pegula picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sabalenka vs. Pegula match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sabalenka vs. Pegula updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to start on Thursday at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula
• Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
• Approx. Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2025
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Sabalenka vs. Pegula match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Jessica Pegula at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Pegula insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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