Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/21/2025]

Arsenal and Manchester City will lock horns in the Premier League at Emirates Stadium on Sunday, starting at 11:30AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Arsenal-Manchester City game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Arsenal a 49.3% chance of winning, Manchester City a 26.3% chance, and a 24.4% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Arsenal vs. Manchester City predictions page.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Arsenal and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 49.3% chance of Arsenal winning, a 26.3% chance for Manchester City, and a 24.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Arsenal	Manchester City	Draw
+105	+270	+260

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-130	+106

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Arsenal vs. Manchester City matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ARS 1-1 MCI	11.5%
ARS 1-0 MCI	10.1%
ARS 2-1 MCI	9.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 45.0% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Premier League game between Arsenal and Manchester City at Emirates Stadium is scheduled to start in the United States at 11:30AM ET.

• Who: Arsenal vs. Manchester City
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Time: 11:30AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Venue: Emirates Stadium

Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Arsenal vs. Manchester City matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Manchester City vs. Arsenal picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Arsenal has a 49.3% win probability on Sunday, Manchester City has a 26.3% win probability, and there is a 24.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arsenal vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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