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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [5/3/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks-Philadelphia Phillies Predictions and Game Preview.
Citizens Bank Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies this Saturday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will square off with the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, starting at 6:05PM ET.

Aaron Nola (0-5, 5.40 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Phillies, up against Brandon Pfaadt (5-1, 2.78 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Arizona-Philadelphia game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Phillies are more likely to win, while the Diamondbacks have a lower chance of victory."

For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Phillies a 54% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 10-run over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

 

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds [5/3/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Diamondbacks Phillies
Run Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +106 -124
Total o10 (+100) u10 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 6:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Arizona vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Sports Betting Deals Available for Saturday

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Diamondbacks vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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