Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [5/1/2025]

The New York Mets will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 1:10PM ET.

Kodai Senga (3-1, 1.26 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Zac Gallen (1-4, 5.57 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Arizona-NY Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Mets with a win probability of 59% and the Diamondbacks with 41%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Diamondbacks vs. Mets predictions page.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 59% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds [5/1/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Diamondbacks	Mets
Run Line	+1.5 (-155)	-1.5 (+135)
Moneyline	+140	-162
Total	o8 (-110)	u8 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 1:10PM ET.

• Who: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
• Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
• Time: 1:10PM ET/10:10AM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Arizona vs. NY Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Diamondbacks vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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