Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [8/30/2025]

La Liga action continues on Saturday at 11:00AM ET as Atletico Madrid locks horns with Alaves at Estadio de Mendizorroza.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid predictions page.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Alaves and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 20.5% chance of Alaves winning, a 53.7% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 25.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Alaves	Atletico Madrid	Draw
+450	-135	+255

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+136	-168

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Atletico Madrid win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ALV 0-1 ATM	14.4%
ALV 1-1 ATM	12%
ALV 0-2 ATM	11%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.3% chance that both teams scoring, and a 55.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's La Liga game between Alaves and Atletico Madrid at Estadio de Mendizorroza is scheduled to commence in the United States at 11:00AM ET.

• Who: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
• Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
• Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Alaves has a 20.5% win probability on Saturday, Atletico Madrid has a 53.7% win probability, and there is a 25.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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