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2025 Wyndham Championship Picks, Odds, Predictions: Five Golfers to Bet on At Sedgefield Country Club
The 2025 Wyndham Championship tees off on Thursday, July 29 at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC and Dave Garofolo uses Dimers' predictive analytics to identify the best bets of the tournament.

The PGA TOUR rolls down south to Greensboro, NC for the 2025 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club, the final tournament before the FedExCUP Playoffs being a three-week run to the TOUR Championship.
After cashing a pair of regional props at the 3M Open and half of our Alex Noren ladder, we're looking to cash in once again with our best bets and picks from our golf model.
Our model's best bets and predictions, the result of Dimers predictive golf model running 1000s of simulations on the 2025 Wyndham Championship, identify intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. These best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks where a $5 bet on any golfer can get you a $150 new-user bonus at bet365 sportsbook with the bet365 sportsbook bonus code "DIMERS".
Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. Our PGA predictions model pulled off some big wins in 2024 and is turning out winners this year, hitting a +883 Masters parlay, identifying Scottie Scheffler to win the CJ CUP Byron Nelson and the PGA Championship, and most recently cashing ladder plays on Tommy Fleetwood at the Charles Schwab Challenge, Sepp Straka at the Memorial and Russell Henley and Fleetwood again at the Travelers.
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Who Will Win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?
Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club, the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:
Keegan Bradley - Bradley enters Sedgefield with the highest win probability in this group, supported by top‑tier consistency: a T22 performance at last year’s Wyndham Championship and a dramatic comeback victory at the Travelers Championship in June, where he closed with a clutch birdie to win. He’s firmly positioned inside the FedExCup top 10 and riding strong momentum into this field.
Matt Fitzpatrick - Fitzpatrick’s odds make him the pre‑tournament outright favorite alongside Bradley, fueled by recent T4 finishes at both The Open and Scottish Open, plus T8s at the Rocket Classic and PGA Championship.
Ben Griffin - Griffin carries strong model-based upside with nearly a 5 % chance to win. Though not as well known, his steady play has placed him well inside the projected Top 10 bracket, and he currently sits inside the top‑20 in FedExCup standings indicating an on‑form campaign.
Hideki Matsuyama - The 11-time Tour winner is among the most experienced players in the field and hasn’t missed a cut since the PGA Championship, producing solid results with T13 and T16 at Detroit and Royal Portrush, respectively. He finished T11 at the 2025 Wyndham and has extra incentive as he heads into the FedEx St. Jude Championship as defending champion—making this a helpful tune‑up week.
Robert MacIntyre - MacIntyre is well‐positioned with nearly 17 % chances of a Top 5 and nearly 27 % for a Top 10, per the model. He’s ranked 14th in the field and comfortably inside FedExCup Playoffs contention, though recent tournament-specific results are less prominent in the U.S., making him more of a statistical sleeper pick. His consistency suggests upside at a responsive Sedgefield.
Golfer | Win% | Top 5% | Top 10% | Top 20% |
---|---|---|---|---|
Keegan Bradley | 5.9% | 20.0% | 31.2% | 46.5% |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 4.8% | 17.8% | 29.6% | 45.9% |
Ben Griffin | 4.7% | 17.3% | 28.2% | 43.1% |
Hideki Matsuyama | 4.4% | 16.1% | 27.1% | 42.7% |
Robert Macintyre | 4.1% | 16.7% | 26.9% | 42.5% |
What is the 2025 Wyndham Championship Course and Layout?
Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina, stands as a pivotal stage each year on the PGA TOUR, having hosted the Wyndham Championship exclusively since 2008. As the final event before the FedExCup Playoffs, it serves as the last opportunity for players on the bubble to crack the top 70 in the standings and secure their spot in the postseason. This year's field is loaded with those hovering near the playoff cut line—all golfers from from Tony Finau at 60th to Beau Hossler at 96th are in this field—making Sedgefield the ultimate proving ground for both rising stars and veterans fighting to extend their seasons.
The Donald Ross–designed par-70 layout measures 7,131 yards and consistently rewards precision over power. Its small greens, narrow tree-lined fairways and a setup featuring 12 par 4s and two reachable par 5s highlight the importance of accuracy off the tee and sharp iron play. Last year’s champion, Aaron Rai, perfectly exemplified this wining formula - he ranked near the top in both driving accuracy and greens in regulation, while finishing just 63rd in driving distance - proving that ball-striking and consistency, especially on approach, outweigh pure length.
With an average scoring mark of just under 69 per round in 2024, players will again find opportunities to go low, especially if they can capitalize on the short par 4s and navigate the Bermuda greens with confidence. Ultimately, Sedgefield is a course that invites birdies but punishes carelessness, offering an ideal mix of scoring chances and strategic demands at one of the most pressure-packed moments on the PGA TOUR calendar.
MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings
The Wyndham Championship Betting Preview
We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. The big names are out of the field but with xxx golfers in play, there's plenty of value to be found.
We'll also highlight some standout prop and placement bets if we find any appealing value when perusing the board.
Keegan Bradley (+2800 on BetMGM)
To start things off, Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley offers one of the best value plays on the board this week, with +2800 odds implying just a 3.4% win chance—well below his model-projected 5.9%.
He’s Top 10 on TOUR in both SG: Total and SG: Around-the-Green, while his below average putting has surged lately (+0.517 SG in last five starts).
Bradley ranks 13th in Par 4 Scoring (3.98 SG), and his recent win at the Travelers shows he can close. With a T22 at Wyndham last year, he’s in excellent shape for a placement ladder, playing his Top 5, Top 10 and top 20 in addition to the outright win, especially as our top-ranked golfer.
While he's third on the sportsbooks odds, he's the favorite for DimersBOT, with our fair odds at just +1600 for Bradley to close out the regular season with a win.
Hideki Matsuyama (+3300 on FanDuel)
Next up is a golfer on the rise lately.
There’s clear value on Matsuyama at +3200, with his implied odds suggesting just a 3.0% chance to win, below our model’s projection of 4.4%. That makes his fair odds closer to +2170, placing him fourth overall in Dimers' rankings despite sitting further down the board at most sportsbooks.
Sedgefield suits his strengths when he wants it to. This year. Matsuyama ranks 24th on TOUR in SG: Approach (+0.509 SG) and is 23rd in Par 4 Scoring (3.99 SG), two essential ingredients for success on this accuracy-dependent course. He continues to shine around the green (5th in SG: ARG) and holds steady putting numbers (+0.130 overall, 75th on TOUR).
Though he’s missed the cut in four of his last five Wyndham starts, Matsuyama has a sneaky-good ceiling here—his three career paydays at Sedgefield all resulted in top-15 finishes, including a T3 in 2016 and T11 in 2018.
Coming off back-to-back top-20 finishes at The Open (T16) and Rocket Classic (T13), he enters this week off his best consecutive outings since the first two events of the season.
Robert MacIntyre (+3200 Bet365)
The Scotsman holds one of the most favorable discrepancies on the board, with his +3300 odds implying just a 2.9% win probability, compared to Dimers' model at 4.1%—suggesting fair odds around +2340. That makes him a strong value target in both outright and finishing position markets - he's the last golfer on our leaderboard to get at least a 40% probability of a Top 20.
Statistically, MacIntyre is quietly one of the most complete players in the field. He ranks 29th in SG: Approach (+0.455) and 36th in SG: Off-the-Tee (+0.290), while maintaining solid marks in par-4 scoring (4.00, 41st).
Over his last five starts, he’s gained an impressive +0.931 SG: Total and improved notably with the flat stick (+0.271), a critical trait at Sedgefield’s Bermuda greens.
MacIntyre is in strong form entering this week with a T7 at The Open and a solo 2nd at the U.S. Open in June. Although he’s yet to shine at the Wyndham (T65 in 2021 and MC in 2024), he's rolling right now and he ranks 15th in the FedExCup standings.
Don’t let his limited Sedgefield track record fool you—his skillset and trajectory make him a serious sleeper candidate.
Harry Hall (+4500 on FanDuel)
Englishman Harry Hall is up next this week at +4500, with his 3.5% win probability from Dimers translating to fair odds of about +2750—a significant edge over the implied 2.2% probability at his current sportsbook price. That discrepancy positions him as a high-upside sleeper, especially given his top-tier putting profile and recent surge in form.
Statistically, Hall has emerged as one of the elite short-game performers on TOUR. He ranks 3rd in SG: Putting (+0.789), 1st in Putts Per Round (27.53), and 2nd in One-Putt Percentage (45.8%), making him lethal on Sedgefield’s slick Bermuda greens.
While his ball striking is middling—ranking 106th Off-the-Tee (-0.008) and 99th in Approach (+0.020)—his recent splits show improvement (+0.193 SG: Approach), complementing his 2nd-place rank in Par 4 Scoring (3.95 average) and 9th in SG: Total overall.
Hall enters the Wyndham in excellent form, having recorded six Top-20s in his last 10 starts, including a T6 at Colonial and a T9 at the Travelers.
Although he's missed the cut in both of his previous Wyndham starts, his 2024 performance (-1 through two rounds) showed clear improvement from 2023 (+9). With career-best consistency and a skill set built for a putting contest, Hall is a prime candidate to break through in Greensboro.
Ryan Fox (+9000 on bet365)
At +9000, Ryan Fox offers excellent value relative to his 1.9% win probability from Dimers, which equates to fair odds of +5160, and he's as low as +6600 on other books.
While his implied probability of 1.1% doesn't seem like a big difference from 1.9%, that odds discrepancy is a $400 difference for a $10 bet on Fox. With two wins in his last 10 starts, both secured in playoffs, Fox has proven capable of closing under pressure.
Fox’s ball-striking profile is top-tier, ranking 25th on TOUR in SG: Approach (+0.492), and he’s been even sharper over his last five events (+0.670). While his Driving Accuracy (just outside the top 100) could be a concern at Sedgefield, his hot putter should offset it—ranking 38th in SG: Putting (+0.261) overall and averaging +0.558 over his last five. He also ranks 22nd in SG: Total and has posted five Top-20 finishes in his last eight starts, including a win at the RBC Canadian Open and a T17 at the Travelers.
Fox missed the cut at last year’s Wyndham (-2 after two rounds), but with a sharper putter and his iron play dialed in, he enters the week as an upside pick in strong form and with a proven track record of winning when in contention.
2025 Wyndham Championship Prop Bets
You can find more winners with value by digging in to our full Wyndham Championship predictions with Dimers Pro.
In addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got placement bet value to consider for this week's action at Sedgefield Country Club as well.
Alex Noren Top 10 (+650 on BetMGM)
Fresh off cashing a Top 10 and Top 20 ladder plays (and one stroke shy of a Top 5), Alex Noren looks to improve on his T60 (2019) and T38 (2023) results at Sedgefield.
He doesn't qualify for Strokes Gained rankings due to his limited appearances this year, but he's coming off an impressive outing with the putter and he's historically been very good on the greens and when scrambling around the green.
Can he repeat his most recent performance? DimersBOT gives him a 17.6% chance to finish Top 10 for fair odds of +470 and a big advantage. Top 10 too risky? Grab him Top 20 at 29.7% and +335.
Ryan Fox Top 20 (+350 on DraftKings)
This guy again? Yeah that's right.
Fox has five Top 10s in his past eight appearances, gets fair odds of just +250 and as mentioned, shines in two key categories on this course thanks to his short game and iron play.
He draws a 28.2% probability and every single golfer projected higher (with the exception of our man Alex Noren) than he is gets odds of +300 or shorter.
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