The 2025 US Open has arrived and it's shaping up to be one of the most intriguing contests of the year. Oakmont Country Club will host for the tenth time and all signs point to the toughest test these golfers have faced in some time.

The majors are always a tier above the usual tournaments - between the legacy, elevated prize pool and loaded field of both PGA and LIV competitors, they're almost always must-watch golf.

We're gearing up for this year's action with our best bets for the US Open, our full US Open projections, in-house golf rankings and our one-of-a-kind Head-to-Head matchup simulator, but there's plenty more to dig into at this year's US Open.

As reigning champion Bryson DeChambeau prepared for his title defense, and World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler goes for his fourth win in five weeks, we're looking at some notable storylines jumping out at us at the third major of the year.

Before we dig in, don't forget to check all of our resources for betting on this year's US Open:

• How to Watch the 2025 US Open
• Best Bets, Picks, Predictions at the US Open
• Full US Open Predictions
• Our PGA vs. LIV US Open parlay

To access all of our golf tools and features all year long, join Dimers Pro today for 20% off with promo code 20GOLF and take your betting to the next level - learn more via the offer below!

2025 US Open: Major Storylines

There are four golf major tournaments a year so why not stick with the theme? Here are four "major" storylines at the latest major of the season:

The Daunting Task that is Oakmont 

Hosting the US Open for the tenth time, the most in history, Oakmont Country Club is notable for its brutality, and looks likely to play as difficult as ever at the 2025 edition. It slopes every which way with punishing bunkers and the slick, fast greens you'll hear about all week can sap away all the advantage of a great setup. Oakmont doesn’t just test golfers - it exposes them.

While big hitters like Bryson DeChambeau and Dustin Johnson have found US Open success, Oakmont demands far more than raw power. When Johnson won here in 2016, he also ranked top 20 in accuracy. This course demands precision, patience, and complete control from tee to green. 

At 7,372 yards for a Par 70, Oakmont isn’t short, but its true teeth come from brutal par 3s averaging 220+ yards and demanding par 5s.

Eight of the nine US Open winners at Oakmont are multiple major winners and in this field, all of Dimers' top five finishers have won a major - Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy, with Scheffler and McIlroy winning this year. Tommy Fleetwood is the highest-projected finisher who has yet to win a major and sits at a 3.1% probability. 

All that considered, the vast majority of golfers in this field will be playing this course at an event of this magnitude for the first time, opening the door for anyone to rise to the occasion.

The LIV Golf Boys are in Town

As always with the majors, the LIV crew have rolled into town.

14 LIV golfers will hit the links at this year's US Open - Josele Ballester, Richard Bland, Bryson DeChambeau, Tyrrell Hatton, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Jinichiro Kozuma, Marc Leishman, Phil Mickelson, Joaquin Niemann, Carlos Ortiz, Jon Rahm, Patrick Reed, Cameron Smith.

Four of them are former US Open champions - DeChambeau (2020, 2024), Johnson (2016), Koepka (2017, 2018) and Rahm (2021), as DeChambeau aims to be the first defending champ since Koepka's titles.

Of them all, DeChambeau is our highest-projected winner, though at just 5.1%. That's a far cry from his posted odds of +750 which imply an 11.8% chance.

Just behind him is Rahm at 3.4%, whose +1200 odds imply 7.7%.

After them, just Joaquin Niemann (2.2%) and Tyrrell Hatton (1.4%) land in our Top 20 projected finishers, making it look like the majority of the LIV crew may not be in town for the full weekend.

Bryson DeChambeau's Historic US Open Pace

As mentioned, DeChambeau is a two-time winner and defending champion of the US Open.

However, that's not the only reason there's plenty of hype around him this time around - he would be the first three-time winner since Tiger Woods won his third in 2008, netting all three between 2000 and 2008. 

That means not only would a win give him three victories in a faster timespan than Woods, it would also put him one back of tying Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Bobby Jones and Willie Anderson as the only four-time winners of the US Open.

At just 31 years old, that would put DeChambeau in line to make a run for the most US Open titles all time and become a five-time winner.

He tends to show up at these events - in his past seven majors, he's bagged four Top Six finishes and a T20.

Although as we mentioned, he's got just a 5.1% probability to repeat so if you want to bet on him, you're best using a sportsbook boost or waiting for a better price mid-tournament if possible.

Phil Mickelson's Final Ride?

Phil Mickelson’s quest for the elusive career Grand Slam could reach its final chapter at this year’s US Open. The six-time major champion—whose 2021 PGA Championship victory granted him a five-year exemption—is now playing under that final year. With no Official World Golf Ranking points awarded for LIV Golf events, Mickelson's path back to this major may close after 2025.

Despite finishing in second place a total of six times at the US Open, Lefty returns to the site where he's struggled before, missing the cut in both 2007 and 2016 and managing only a T-47 in 1994. Now 54 years old and with three straight missed cuts at the U.S. Open, the odds are firmly stacked against him.

Oddsmakers aren’t optimistic about Mickelson’s chances. His +800 odds to finish inside the Top 20 imply an 11.1% chance—though the Dimers model suggests his true chances are closer to 2.0%. He’s a +2000 long shot (implied 4.8%) for a Top 10 while our probability is at only 0.6%.

A Top 5 finish at +5500 implies 1.8%, compared to just 0.2% in projections. As for completing the Grand Slam with an outright win? His +30000 price tag carries a 0.3% implied chance—more than triple what the DimersBOT believes is his actual sub-0.1% shot.

Despite the odds, Mickelson’s name still carries weight, and his legacy guarantees attention, meaning he could be granted a special exemption to play the event in the future, but as it stands, this could be the final ride for Phil.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including the US Open and every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

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