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2025 Travelers Championship Picks, Odds, Predictions at TPC Highlands feature Scottie Scheffler as Heavy Favorite

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade

The 2025 Travelers Championship tees off on Thursday, June 19 at TPC Highlands and Dave Garofolo uses Dimers' predictive analytics to identify the best bets of the tournament.

PGA Predictions, Travelers Championship, Golf Bets, PGA TOUR, PGA picks, Scottie Scheffler
Who will win the 2025 Travelers Championship? We consult our predictive model to find the best value at TPC Highlands this week.

After a thrilling and incredibly challenging (as advertised) U.S. Open, the PGA TOUR resumes regular play with the Travelers Championship at TPC Highlands in Cromwell, CT for the final signature event of the season with a $20 Million purse and 700 FedExCup Points up for grabs.

Reigning champion Scottie Scheffler is coming off a disappointing effort at Oakmont and is unsurprisingly the heavy favorite once again, but this field is loaded with plenty of talent on display.

Let's climb the ladder at Colonial Country Club. 🪜

Tommy Fleetwood has been having himself a strong year and DimersBOT identifies value all the way up the board this week.

He's our second-most likely winner and has finished Top 20 in 6/10 events in 2025. pic.twitter.com/aQqL3b0n4r

— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) May 21, 2025

Dimers predictive golf model has run 1000s of simulations on the 2025 Travelers Championship, identifying intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks where a $5 bet on any golfer can get you a $150 new-user bonus at bet365 sportsbook with the bet365 sportsbook bonus code "DIMERS".


Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. Our PGA predictions are sourced from the powerful Dimers Pro predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2024 and is turning out winners this year, hitting a +883 Masters parlay, identifying Scottie Scheffler to win the CJ CUP Byron Nelson, the PGA Championship, and most recently cashing ladder plays on Tommy Fleetwood at the Charles Schwab Challenge and Sepp Straka at the Memorial.

Dimers Pro unlocks complete access to all of our Golf Predictions as well as best bets and props for over a dozen leagues on Dimers.com, including NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, college sports and international soccer.

Find out how to join for less than $1/day by hitting the button below.


Who Will Win the 2025 Travelers Championship?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Travelers Championship, the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

  • Scottie Scheffler (Win 25.2%): The world No. 1 has been outstanding this season, including a dominant win at the 2025 PGA Championship in May and tying the PGA Tour’s lowest 72-hole record at 31-under at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson in early May. He struggled at the US Open at Oakmont but battled back to T7 finish behind champion JJ Spaun
  • Rory McIlroy (Win 4.1%): After completing the career Grand Slam with his Masters win on April 13, McIlroy has struggled to maintain that peak, missing the cut at the Canadian Open and finishing T47 at the PGA Championship. At the US Open, he nearly missed the cut, eventually finishing T19.
  • Collin Morikawa (Win 3.8%): Morikawa has shown flashes of form with three top-10s this season, including a runner-up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Sentry. He hit a rough patch but may be shooting his way out with three Top 25s in his past 4 starts.
  • Xander Schauffele (Win 3.5%): Despite an early-season injury, Schauffele posted a top-10 finish (T8) at the Masters and closed with a 3-under 68 in the final round of the PGA Championship . He’s had consistent results overall, though pushing to return to peak top-tier form
  • Tommy Fleetwood (Win 3.3%): Fleetwood has been steady in 2025, notching four top‑10s , three of them in his past six events, and just three events outside the Top 25 all season long.
GolferWin%Top 5%Top 10%Top 20%
Scottie Scheffler25.2%55.9%71.4%86.1%
Rory McIlroy4.1%18.2%32.4%52.6%
Collin Morikawa3.8%17.0%30.3%51.6%
Xander Schauffele3.5%16.5%30.8%50.1%
Tommy Fleetwood3.3%15.2%27.7%47.8%

What is the 2025 Travelers Championship Course and Layout?

A no-cut field of 72 golfers will hit the links in Cromwell this week.

TPC River Highlands (Par 70, 6,844 yards) is one of the shortest tracks on the PGA TOUR but remains a formidable test thanks to thick, four-inch rough and smaller-than-average greens. Originally opened in the 1920s, the course underwent a full Pete Dye redesign in 1982.

The closing stretch around the four-acre lake on holes 15-17 often proves pivotal and often decides the winner. While the fairways are generous, precision on approach shots is critical to scoring. The Poa Annua-Bentgrass greens will feel much more receptive than last week’s Oakmont test, setting the stage for a birdie fest.

With an average winning score of 21-under over the past three years — and Jim Furyk’s record-setting 58 here in 2016 — expect plenty of low numbers this week.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

The Travelers Championship Betting Preview

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds and with Scottie Scheffler claiming about 25% percent of the market this week, there's a lot of value among our top contenders, with less the further down the board you go.

We'll also highlight some standout prop and placement bets if we find any appealing value when perusing the board.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3500 on DraftKings)

One of the more accomplished golfers this season, Tommy Fleetwood has finished Top 25 in 10/13 events this season, missing a single cut.

He's cracked the Top 5 three times and is the definition of high floor, high ceiling.

His subpar driving distance won't put him at a major disadvantage this week as the course is short and he ranks 11th on Approach, cleaning up with his mid-range game.

Fleetwood owns a strong putter, with a nearly 43% one-putt percentage, which should come in handy on these smaller greens.

At our 3.3% probability, the Dimers model says Fleetwood should be just +2930, compared to his +3500 at DraftKings.

While he doesn't hold any value in a Top 20 or Top 10 finish, his Top 5 prop at +650 and 15.2% is worth a look.

 

Russell Henley (+4000 on DraftKings)

The World No. 6 has shown as much potential as anyone on the TOUR this season, though he's mixed in some disappointing results more often than he'd like.

Russell Henley has seven T10 or better finishes in 2025, including a win and two T5s.

He hit a slump where he missed the cut twice and finished T30 or worse in a five event span, but has since finished T5 (Memorial) and T10 (US Open).

He's not great off the tee, except for his driving accuracy where he ranks 17th, but excels on approach (14th) and is 4th in birdies on Par 3s, an area that could help him shave off strokes this week.

The Dimers model projects Henley at 3.0% to win with fair odds of +3230 while you can bet him at +4000 on DraftKings.

His Top 5 (13.9% at +800) and Top 10 (26.3% at +330) make intriguing single bets as well.

 

Ben Griffin (+5500 on FanDuel)

A sneakier name who cracks our Top 10 overall, Ben Griffin ranks 5th in FedExCup points this season, bagging a pair of wins to go along with six other Top 10 finishes.

He's in the midst of a stretch where he's finished T8, 1st, 2nd and T10, including two majors, proving he can hang with the best, who will all be out on the links this week.

Griffin boasts a well-rounded game, ranking above TOUR average but outside the Top 25 in Putting, Driving and Approach, yet has put all his skills together for the 16th-ranked Strokes Gained overall.

At 2.8% to win, the Dimers model says he should be just +3470 - for reference, that's the difference between a $550 winner and a $347 winner off a $10 bet.

Griffin also lines up as the ladder play value of the week:

  • To Win (2.8% at +5500)
  • Top 5 (13.0% at +900)
  • Top 10 (24.9% at +450)
  • Top 20 (44.6% at +190)
 

2025 Travelers Championship Prop Bets

You can find more winners with value by digging in to our full Travelers Championship predictions with Dimers Pro.

Plus, in addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got a few placement and unique market bets to consider for this week's 2025 Travelers Championship as well. As well as being value plays as single wagers, consider playing these in a parlay to potentially rack up some serious profits.

Alex Noren Top 20 (+280 on DraftKings)

For our best straight-up Top 20 value play, we're looking a little down the board at Alex Noren.

He's played in just four events after recovering from injury through the first half of the year, with one Top 20 finish at the PGA Championship.

Noren hasn't played enough to qualify for this year's SG analytics, but last season he was 12th overall thanks to an accurate driver and a consistent if not conservative putter.

This week, he projects with a 31.1% probability of a Top 20 finish, which would be fair odds of +220, identifying a betting opportunity of +280 at DraftKings.

 

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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