2025 The Open Championship Parlay: Head-to-Head Picks feature LIV vs. PGA at Royal Portrush

The 2025 edition of The Open Championship is here, the final major tournament of the season and like always, Dimers has your back with the best golf bets, including our full tournament predictions and picks to win The Open.

We've highlighted the key betting storylines at Royal Portrush, and now it's time to look at some parlay action with a little PGA vs. LIV head-to-head matchup as we love to do when the Majors roll around and LIV is in town.

Betting on winners and who will finish in the Top 5, 10 and 20 markets gets all the attention around golf tournaments, but betting on head-to-head matchups can be an equally lucrative and entertaining experience for golf bettors.

To make this market easy, Dimers has an in-house tool designed for pitting golfers against one another and simulating the results. We can see who will finish higher in their head-to-head matchup, either after Round 1 or over the course of the entire tournament.

The sports betting site we'll be using is DraftKings Sportsbook as they have the best odds available at the time of publishing (as well as the lucrative King of the Course promo), but qualified users should be sure to utilize the bet365 Sportsbook bonus code "DIMERS", which unlocks a $150 bonus with your first $5 bet, perfect for betting on The Open Championship, as well as the BetMGM Bonus Code which unlocks a cash back offer when you bet on a golfer to win.

2025 The Open Championship Parlay Picks at +462 Odds

With the LIV crew in the mix for another major, we're having some fun and using three matchups that pit a PGA golfer against a LIV golfer. We're not picking sides in the feud, just going with the guy that DimersBOT supports the most in each matchup.

To make this parlay, we'll be using the Head-to-Head matchups available at FanDuel Sportsbook. We'll enter both golfers into our H2H Predictor, select the Tournament-long option, and see which golfer gets the advantage for the weekend.

With a handy "Fair Odds" to "Percentages" toggle, you can always check to see if there's value in any given matchup, and with a Dimers Pro subscription, you can simulate unlimited matchups for every tournament.

MORE: Can Xander Schauffele go back-to-back at The Open?

Leg 1: Sam Burns to beat Brooks Koepka

We start off with the strongest play from the model and back PGA member Sam Burns to beat his LIV counterpart on the links.

It has not been Koepka's year - he has no wins and six finishes outside the Top 30 compared to four within. In majors, he's missed two cuts and finishes T12 at the US Open.

For Burns, it's not his best year, but very solid with four Top 10s and solid to strong showings at the Majors, including a T7 at the US Open and T19 at the PGA Championship.

Neither is a perfect fit for this course, but Burns edges out Koepka off the tee, beating him by 5% in accuracy and about 3% in hitting GIR, where he then cleans up with his 1st overall rank with the putter.

At 61.1% to beat or tie Koepka, Burns is the model's strongest of the three matchups.

Leg 2: Tyrrell Hatton to beat Robert Macintyre

The only battle between UK golfers and the only LIV golfer to get the model's edge is our second pick as we turn to Englishman Tyrrell Hatton.

Macintyre is a popular pick to win this week (like Hatton) but he may not have the momentum. While he nabbed a 2nd place finish at the last major of the year, he was cut at the Masters and finished T47 at the PGA Championship. He's also coming off a T65 at the Scottish Open, an event he won last year.

His last three Open tries are T50, T71 and T34, though he did nab a T6 here in 2019 at Royal Portrush, as did Hatton.

Hatton has a T4 at the US Open and a T14 at the Masters, showing up on the big stages. He has volatile results at The Open - 7 missed cuts in 12 tries - but has shown plenty of upside with finishes of T20, T11, T6 and T5.

DimersBOT has this as the closest matchup of the three, but gives Hatton the edge to win or tie at 54.4%.

Leg 3: Russell Henley to beat Joaquin Niemann

We close it out with the best value of them all, and the only pick not favored by the sportsbooks, although DraftKings effectively has it priced as a toss-up.

Russell Henley is also one of DimersBOT's value picks to win The Open Championship so it's fitting that we'd favor him to best his LIV opponent over the course of 72 holes at Royal Portrush.

Henley's on arguably his best run of an already impressive season that included a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, finishing T5, T10 and T2 in consecutive events, including the US Open.

Niemann's been great on LIV this season and has a T23 and T8 at his first two majors, coming off a cut at the US Open.

On a course where accuracy off the tee is crucial, Henley edges out Niemann substantially at 67.4% vs. 59.3% of fairways hit.

At a combined 58.3% probability to win or tie, Henley also gets the edge on the odds to outlast Niemann.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including The Open and every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

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