2025 PGA Procore Championship Picks, Odds, Predictions: Russell Henley Projected to Stay Hot by Golf Model

After a multi-week break following the TOUR Championship, the PGA TOUR is back on Dimers for FedExCup Fall as golfers look to lock up their PGA TOUR cards for next season over the next two months.

The Dimers model ended the season in spectacular fashion, cashing Tommy Fleetwood to bag his first-ever PGA TOUR win at the TOUR Championship with value identified at +1400 odds.

We're looking to get right back in form with our best bets on the Procore Championship at Silverado Resort in Napa, CA.

These best bets are here to help guide your outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks for the FedExCup Fall Events, where a $5 bet on any golfer can get you a $300 new-user bonus at bet365 sportsbook with the bet365 sportsbook bonus code "DIMERS".

Hopefully you've tailed along this season or at least utilized our Dimers Pro PGA Predictions model which turned out winners this year - the aformentioned +1400 Tommy Fleetwood winner, hitting a +883 Masters parlay, identifying Scottie Scheffler to win the CJ CUP Byron Nelson and the PGA Championship, cashing ladder plays on Tommy Fleetwood at the Charles Schwab Challenge, Sepp Straka at the Memorial and Russell Henley and Fleetwood again at the Travelers.

Dimers Pro unlocks complete access to best bets and props for over a dozen leagues on Dimers.com, including NFL, WNBA, MLB, college sports and international soccer.

And with the NFL season back in action, you can save 50% off Dimers Pro with a football season pass that covers a full year of access - just use promo code FOOTBALL to save on Dimers Pro today!

Who Will Win the 2025 Procore Championship?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Procore Championship at Silverado Resort, the first stop of the FedExCup Fall schedule.

These predictions are the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

Scottie Scheffler — With a massive 38.6% win probability, Scheffler arrives as the clear favorite after a dominant major season and multiple 2025 major wins; his form and iron-to-putter consistency make him the player to beat this week.

Russell Henley — Henley’s strengths around the greens and recent strong finishes in the FedExCup Playoffs, including a T2 at the TOUR Championship back up his 7.4% win projection and strong top-10 upside.

Ben Griffin — A two-time winner this year, Griffin’s recent run of four straight Top 15 finishes supports his outside chance here; at a 5.6% win probability he profiles as a sleeper who can climb the board if his ball-striking stays sharp.

Cameron Young — After breaking through for a convincing victory at the Wyndham and showing top-5 major form at the US Open, Young’s 4.2% win probability understates how dangerous he is. With long-hitting and clear confidence, he’s a strong bet to convert that form into another big week.

Patrick Cantlay — Cantlay’s playoff-field performances (T9, T30 and T2) paired with a 4.0% win projection make him a smart play for a Top-10/Top-20 finish as premium ball-striking and course management give him every chance to grind into contention.

What is the 2025 Procore Championship Course and Layout?

The 2025 Procore Championship marks the opening event of the FedEx Cup Fall, kicking off a crucial seven-tournament stretch that will determine PGA TOUR cards and exemptions for the 2026 season. With a new format trimming the cutoff for fully exempt status from the top 125 to just the top 100, thirty cards remain up for grabs, giving players outside the bubble every incentive to chase points and make a late-season push and adding to the intrigue is a star-studded field, with 10 of the 12 U.S. Ryder Cup players teeing it up.

The championship will once again be staged at Silverado Resort's North Course in Napa, California. Playing as a par 72 at 7,138 yards, the course has been a longtime TOUR host since its establishment in 1955. Known for rewarding accuracy and creativity, Silverado presents a strategic test where precision often outweighs sheer power.

Defending champion Patton Kizzire returns after a commanding five-stroke victory in 2024, a rare runaway in a tournament that has otherwise been decided by two strokes or fewer—or in a playoff—over the past decade.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Dimers' Procore Championship Best Bets

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. The field is loaded but is also missing plenty of overseas talent, making for a competitive card.

We'll also highlight any standout prop and placement bets for these golfers if we find any appealing value hidden in the Dimers golf predictions.

Scottie Scheffler (+225 on BetRivers)

We'll keep this one short and sweet as there's not much to say about the World No. 1 golfer, plus, this is purely a bet based on value.

Scheffler is a runaway favorite in this one with nearly a 40% win probability, and for good reason. He won five times this year, including two majors. He finished T3, 1 and T4 in the FedExCup Playoff events and hasn't finished outside the Top 10 since THE PLAYERS in March, finishing T5 or better in 10/14 events in that span.

And yet - he's a value play according to the model. Our 38.6% probability implies fair odds of just +160 while he's +225 at BetRivers.

It's tough to recommend a golfer to win in a field of 100+ at +225, but if you are playing for value, Scheffler's got it.

If you don't mind adding risk, then consider parlaying him with another of our top golfers like Russell Henley to finish Top 10, bringing this to over +400, albeit with the added risk.

Russell Henley (+1800 on bet365)

Now for the good stuff.

Russell Henley is a model favorite and is coming off a T2 at the TOUR Championship, capping off a year highlighted by a win and double-digit Top 10 finishes.

He's finished Top 20 in every event since June including three T5 or better finishes in those seven events, with a pair of T10 at the US Open and The Open - he's indisputably one of the top golfers in this field.

His Off the Tee game needs some work, but that should be less of a factor this week as he dominated on Approach and Around the Green.

His 7.4% win probability implies fair odds of +1250 and bet365 has a super boost taking him to +1800 this week, and he's available at +1600 on other books for value.

He's our top ladder play this week with value in each of these markets:

• To Win: 7.4% at +5500 (fair at +3500)
• Top 5: 32.5% at +320 (fair at +210)
• Top 10: 48.4% at +165 (fair at +105)
• Top 20: 65.9% at -140 (fair at -190)

New to bet365? $5 on Henley to win gets you a $300 new-user bonus, win or lose.

Ben Griffin (+2800 on DraftKings)

Our last winner pick with value is on Ben Griffin, a two-time winner this season who also finished off the year in excellent form.

Griffin nabbed his first career wins this year in the midst of a breakout season and aside from a pair of missed cuts in July, hasn't finished outside the Top 15 since the Truist Championship in May.

While his approach game is his weakest area, his putting and scrambling have been excellent and he's a birdie master, ranking 3rd on TOUR.

He's our third-most likely winner this week with a 5.6% win probability, for fair odds of +1690, a huge value - that's a difference of over $100 in profit for a $10 bettor.

Like Henley, Griffin another strong ladder play this week with value in each of these markets:

• To Win: 5.6% at +2800 (fair at +1690)
• Top 5: 25.6% at +450 (fair at +290)
• Top 10: 41.0% at +230 (fair at +140)
• Top 20: 59.8% at +105 (fair at -150)

+552 Top 20 Parlay

Our last play this week is a three-leg parlay combining our three best edges in the market.

Beyond Henley and Griffin, we have some value on Cameron Young at 56.7% and +100 odds to finish Top 20, as he should be -130 per our model.

Playing Henley, Griffin and Young together for a Top 20 finish results in a +552 parlay based on the odds at DraftKings and one backed by both value and strong probabilities with each well over a 50% chance.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

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