As NFL training camps ramp up across the league, now is the perfect time to examine early NFL Betting value in a variety of markets, from early Week 1 lines to Super Bowl Predictions and team win totals.

We've already highlighted five bets you need to make for NFL Week 1 now, so we're digging in to the win totals posted on the sportsbooks in our latest NFL season preview.

Using preseason projection data and the latest offseason developments, we’ve grouped notable teams into three key tiers: most likely to go Over their season win total, most likely to go Under, and the teams projected for the most and fewest wins.

This is just the start of what you can find for the 2025-26 NFL season on Dimers - from our cutting-edge NFL Best Bets and our revamped NFL Props tool, to our NFL Playoff Predictions and brand-new Player Projections Hub for 2025, there's no better way to bet on this NFL season than with Dimers Pro.

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📈 NFL Teams Most Likely to Go Over Their Win Total

Atlanta Falcons (Book Line: 7.5 | Avg: 8.19 | Most Frequent: 8)

• New HC Raheem Morris and QB Michael Penix Jr. headline an offense poised for a step forward.

• With a favorable NFC South schedule and top-tier run game, 8+ wins looks achievable.

Summary: Atlanta’s floor has risen with what we expect to be improved QB play and coaching. Camp reports are positive, and 8 wins is a modest goal in a soft division with two teams projected to go under 7 wins (Panthers, Saints).

Baltimore Ravens (11.5 Line | 11.53 Avg Wins)

• Simulated projections nearly match the book line, with 12 wins being the most common whole-numbered result.

• An elite defense, talented receiving corps, and continuity under Lamar Jackson should thrust the Ravens to a top record in the league once again.

Takeaway: Baltimore’s roster is as deep as any in the AFC. Barring surprising regression or health issues, they’re well-positioned to eclipse 11.5 wins and contend for the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

Los Angeles Chargers (Book Line: 9.5 | Avg: 9.55 | Most Frequent: 10)

• Jim Harbaugh’s arrival has already brought structure to a talented but underachieving roster, improving from 5-12 to 11-6 in his first year.

• Most common sim result is 10 wins, with strong depth on both sides of the ball.

Takeaway: The Harbaugh effect is real. LA’s early camp progress suggests this could be an even better year, especially in a volatile AFC West.

Could the Los Angeles chargers finish with a top record in the NFL this season?

📉 NFL Teams Most Likely to Go Under Their Win Total

Buffalo Bills (Book Line: 12.5 | Avg: 11.57 | Most Frequent: 12)

• Both average and the most frequent result go under the lofty book line of 12.5, making 13 wins a longshot.

• Regression could be on the way for a team that did little to revamp its offense that resulted in the fewest passing yards for Josh Allen since 2019.

Takeaway: Buffalo remains elite but cracking 13 wins will be tough. The market may be overrating their upside given offseason changes (or lack thereof).

Minnesota Vikings (Book Line: 9.5 | Avg: 8.40 | Most Frequent: 8)

• Both projections fall well short of the line, reflecting QB uncertainty.

• J.J. McCarthy will be taking his first snaps as an NFL pro, more than a full year after he was drafted.

Takeaway: Without knowing what McCarthy will look like under center, it’s hard to trust Minnesota to push 10+ wins in a highly competitive NFC North. This is a clear Under candidate.

MORE: Way-Too-Early NFL Super Bowl Halftime Show Predictions

Chicago Bears (Book Line: 8.5 | Avg: 7.65 | Most Frequent: 8)

• Caleb Williams is likely the future of this franchise, but 8 wins looks like their ceiling in sims.

• Camp intensity is high, but this is a young team with a new Head Coach and could find themselves on the wrong side of close games, pushing their total lower.

Takeaway: The Bears are trending upward, but 9 wins is a big ask for a rookie-led team with a new coaching staff.

📊 Most & Fewest Wins Projections

Most Wins Candidates

Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles (All 11.5 Book Line or higher)

• Bills (11.56), Ravens (11.53), Chiefs (10.70), Eagles (10.63)  - these four teams own the league-high win total lines, as well as all being projected for double-digit victories by the Dimers model.

• All feature elite QB play and top-10 roster depth across both sides of the ball.

Takeaway: This group has been dominant over multiple seasons, and none had major offseason downgrades. They’re your safest bets to push for 13+ wins and the No. 1 seed in their respective conferences.

RELATED: Dimers' Most Profitable NFL Teams from 2024-25

Fewest Wins Candidates

Cleveland Browns, New York Giants, New Orleans Saints (All 5.5 Line or Below)

• Browns (5.41), Giants (5.54), and Saints (6.34) lead the bottom tier in projected wins.

• Each team has major question marks and new turnover at quarterback, and early camp results haven’t eased those concerns.

Takeaway: These are the leading contenders for the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. Futures markets reflect this, with Cleveland and New Orleans trading as favorites to finish with the league’s worst record.

Dimers' 2025 NFL Season Betting Resources

• NFL Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every game, every day
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every individual matchup
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Futures Odds: Who will win Super Bowl LX?
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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