2025 Charles Schwab Challenge Picks, Odds, Predictions and Betting Preview at Colonial Country Club led by Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler is inevitable, folks.

It took him a while to pick up his first win of the season, but after his win record-tying win at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson, he won back-to-back events, picking up his latest major victory at the PGA Championship.

DimersBOT had him with an edge, even though he was a short odds favorite, cashing us on Scheffler twice this year.

Yesssssir ✅

Our most likely winner AND top edge, Scottie Scheffler, got the win for us yesterday.

A very nice +500 cash! https://t.co/ObmXIxQTF5 pic.twitter.com/wscvuycJPF

— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) May 19, 2025

He's going for three straight and the books' odds indicate he's likely to do so at the Charles Schwab Challenge, making him a short +250 favorite, with the next closest golfers at +2500 when the action tees off at Colonial Country Club.

Dimers predictive golf model has run 1000s of simulations on the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge, identifying intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks where a $5 bet on any golfer can get you a $150 new-user bonus at bet365 sportsbook with the bet365 bonus code DIMERS.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. Our PGA predictions are sourced from the powerful Dimers Pro predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2024 and got off to a productive start this year, most recently hitting our +883 Masters parlay and identifying Scottie Scheffler with value to win the CJ CUP Byron Nelson, as well as at the PGA Championship.

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Who Will Win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge, the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

Scottie Scheffler enters as the clear favorite, his shortest odds yet this season. His likelihood of finishing in the top 5, 10, and 20 is equally dominant at 46.7%, 61.2%, and 74.5%, respectively, underscoring his consistent elite performance and making him the most reliable pick across all tiers of success.

Tommy Fleetwood, the second-strongest contender, draws a 4.8% probability to win, identifying him as a top contender if Scheffler doesn't run away with the competition.

The rest of the field presents a competitive cluster led by Daniel Berger, Hideki Matsuyama and Si Woo Kim, all with win probabilities between 2.9% and 3.7%, suggesting it's anyone's game for who can land in the upper tiers of the leaderboard.

What is the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge Course and Layout?

A 7,289-yard Par 70, this is the second year for the course after a major restoration, shuffling green location, reducing bunkers and improving sightlines.

Last year's champion, Davis Riley, won by five strokes over Scheffler and Keegan Bradley at T2.

Accurate approach will be critical at this course as it's typically not been one where the long drives can shorten up the holes - golfers will need to excel with their iron play and some of Dimers' top projected finishers are among the best on TOUR in that category.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Preview

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds, from some Top 5 contenders to longshot dark horses.

We'll also highlight some standout prop and placement bets if we find any appealing value when perusing the board.

Scottie Scheffler (+250 on DraftKings)

It's not a an appealing number, but as always, we deal with data here at Dimers and the data says that even at his short odds, Scheffler should be +200, identifying an edge of 5%.

For a 1 unit bettor, that's a half-unit's worth of value, even if it doesn't look like a big price difference.

It will take a lot for Scheffler to lose this week. Though he lost by 5 strokes last year, he finished T2. The year before, T3 and lost by 1. The year before that, he finished runner up after losing ap layoff to Sam Burns.

Safe to say, Scheffler is due here and off back-to-back wins, it's hard to fade him outright. To get better odds, consider using a boost on your available sportsbook, or parlaying him with some of our top golfers to finish in the Top 20/30/40, though understand that comes with additional risk.

For example, pairing a Scheffler win with our next top finishers, Fleetwood and Berger, to each finish Top 40 nets a +549 parlay.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500 on DraftKings)

Now here are some odds that will look more appealing as we'll take a chance on Englishman Tommy Fleetwood to give Scheffler a run for first place.

Fleetwood is quietly having a great year - save for his T41 at the PGA Championship and a T62 at the Valero Texas Open, his worst finishes are a T21 and T22. Otherwise, he's bagged four Top 10s and a pair of T5 or better.

He's 9th in Strokes Gained overall, 12th on approach and 22nd around the green. His above average driving accuracy (35th) should set him up for his excellent iron ability.

DimersBOT projects him as our second-most likely winner, but also finds value in him to place Top 5 (+550), Top 10 (+260) and Top 20 (+120), so we're looking at a ladder play this week, staggering different wagers sizes on each of his placements

Si Woo Kim (+4000 on DraftKings)

Our third pick to win is another one of our top contenders, Si Woo Kim.

If we're going to highlight players with value in good form, it'd be hard to ignore Si Woo Kim. He's had a few struggles with cuts this year, but save for Zurich Classic team event, he's rattled off solo finishes of T8, T15, T17 and T8 in his past four events.

An accurate driver (20th) and sound approach (45th) are helping him contend, resulting in his 20th ranked overall strokes gained.

At 2.9% to win, his fair odds would be +3350 while he's +4000 on the books - a $65 payout difference for a $10 bettor.

He's another one to watch for Top 20 placement, though his value drops off for a Top 10 finish.

2025 Charles Schwab Challenge Prop Bets

You can find more winners with value by digging in to our full Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions with Dimers Pro.

Plus, in addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got a few placement and unique market bets to consider for this week's 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge as well. As well as being value plays as single wagers, consider playing these in a parlay to potentially rack up some serious profits.

Si Woo Kim Top 20 (+220 on DraftKings)

Mentioned above, but there's some good value here so let's break it down. Si Woo Kim actually jumps Hideki Matsuyama in the Top 20 projections, landing fourth in our overall leaderboard at a 41.3% probability.

That would be fair odds of +140, while he's a very bettable +175 on DraftKings.

He's got four straight top 20s at solo events. Consider his +330 to finish as the Top Asian at +330 as well - our model projects him well above all contenders but Hideki Matsuyama where he's neck and neck.

Jhonattan Top South American (+280 on DraftKings)

After dropping his early lead at the PGA Championship, Jhonattan Vegas will look for a bounce back as he aim for his third straight strong finish.

This field has five South American players in it: Vegas, Emilian Grillo, Nico Echavarria, Alejandro Tosti and Camilo Villegas.

Vegas is our highest projected finisher of them all, drawing a 19.0% Top 20 probability, followed by Echavarria 17.8% and then Grillo at 11.6% while the rest are under 10%.

Grillo is favored in this market, yet our model projects him third in this group, putting Vegas in line to string together three good events and best these other four golfers.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

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