2025 3M Open Picks, Odds, Predictions at TPC Twin Cities feature Chris Gotterup, Adam Scott

The PGA TOUR heads to Michigan for the 2025 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, featuring a 156-golfer field as we hit the stretch run into the FedExCup Playoffs.

We're fresh off cashing value on Scottie Scheffler to win and Hideki Matsuyama Top 20 at The Open Championship and are looking to keep the momentum rolling heading into Minnesota as we turn the page to the 3M Open

Our model's best bets and predictions, the result of Dimers predictive golf model running 1000s of simulations on the 2025 3M Open, identify intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. These best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks where a $5 bet on any golfer can get you a $150 new-user bonus at bet365 sportsbook with the bet365 sportsbook bonus code "DIMERS".

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. Our PGA predictions model pulled off some big wins in 2024 and is turning out winners this year, hitting a +883 Masters parlay, identifying Scottie Scheffler to win the CJ CUP Byron Nelson and the PGA Championship, and most recently cashing ladder plays on Tommy Fleetwood at the Charles Schwab Challenge, Sepp Straka at the Memorial and Russell Henley and Fleetwood again at the Travelers.

Dimers Pro unlocks complete access to all of our Golf Predictions as well as best bets and props for over a dozen leagues on Dimers.com, including NFL, WNBA, NHL, MLB, college sports and international soccer.

Find out how to join for less than $1/day by hitting the button below.

Who Will Win the 2025 3M Open?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

What is the 2025 3M Open Course and Layout?

The PGA TOUR returns to Blaine, Minnesota this week for the 2025 3M Open, where TPC Twin Cities once again plays host to a pivotal stop on the calendar. With just two events remaining before the FedExCup Playoffs begin, pressure is mounting for players outside the top 70 to make a final push toward qualification.

TPC Twin Cities has been a reliable test since its debut on the PGA TOUR in 2019, offering a fair but scoreable challenge that rewards consistency and comfort on familiar turf. The 7,431-yard, par 71 layout doesn’t throw many surprises at players - with water in play on 15 of 18 holes, the hazards won't sneak up. It favors those who can find fairways, hit greens in regulation, and trust their putters on the smooth, 6,500-square-foot bentgrass surfaces. With its generous landing areas and manageable rough, the course sets up well for aggressive driving and a putter's paradise to finish.

Players who’ve seen TPC Twin Cities before—especially those who’ve had success—will carry an edge, as every champion since 2020 has previously teed it up in Blaine. The course rewards confidence and bold play, which should produce another compelling week of golf as we speed towards the playoffs.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

The 3M Open Betting Preview

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. The big names are out of the field but with 156 golfers in play, there's plenty of value to be found.

We'll also highlight some standout prop and placement bets if we find any appealing value when perusing the board.

Chris Gotterup (+2700 on Bet365)

First up is Chris Gotterup, the fourth-year pro who's picking up some serious steam on the course.

Gotterup has netted an outright win and a solo third place finish in his past two events, the overseas Scottish Open and The Open Championship. Though he's had his share of missed cuts, he's had just one since April and aside from his missed cut at the RBC Canadian Open, his worst finish in the past three months in a T28.

With the 8th-best driving distance against the TOUR field, Gotteurp sets up well to put himself in position to clean up around the green.

Though he's not the best approach player and his putter is below average, the value on Gotterup is most important - not only is it a good edge with our fair price closer to +1860, he's as short as the co-favorite with Sam Burns at +1800 on multiple other books.

Learn how $5 on Gotteurp to win nets you a $150 new-user bonus at bet365.

Adam Scott (+4500 on DraftKings)

Moving down the board, though only slightly, we reach Australian Adam Scott with a solid edge at +4500 odds.

A 14-time PGA TOUR winner, he's looking for his first outright victory since the 2020 Genesis Invitational. He's been good this year - though he's coming off a missed cut at The Open, he previously nabbed three Top 20 finishes in his past six events, headlined by a T12 at the US Open and a T17 at the Scottish Open.

Scott will be playing this event for the first time in a bid to improve his FedExCup standings and move up 15 spots between the final two regular season events.

DimersBOT gives him a 3.4% probability to win - though not much, it's enough for a Top 5 probability and our fair odds would be closer to +2840 for a notable edge at +4500 on DraftKings.

Alex Noren (+7500 on FanDuel)

Next up is Swedish veteran Alex Noren, a longer odds play who DimersBOT has been fond of this year.

Noren's season got off to a late start due to some injury recovery, and he's golfed in just 7 events, making 4 cuts.

However, he's had success here - in two tries, he's got a T3 and T13, both in the past five editions.

Also working in his favor, is that he didn't play in The Open, giving him more time off and less travel as opposed to his opponents who are making a quicker turnaround.

Though he's not qualified for any SG data this year, he's typically been a master with the putter and shortening his score around the green. With a 2.5% win probability, our model says he should be closer to a +3900 win probability for some major value. 

Additionally, based on his previous results here and his full projections, Noren looks like a ladder play, staggering a unit across his Top 20 (32.6%), Top 10 (19.2%) and Top 5 (+1400) finishes as well.

Victor Perez (+14000 on Bet365)

One more for the road and it's a longshot with serious upside if Perez can find himself in the mix.

At 1.4% probability to win, our model says Perez should be just +7040 - half these odds. That's a $350 difference if you put just $5 on this bet.

So, can he do it? He's had a mixed bag this year, highlighted by six Top 20 finishes, including a T9 as his best.

His metrics are sound - he's ranked 21st in Total Driving, 44th in Putting, 25th on Approach and 9th at hitting Greens in Regulation.

He may not be the perfect match for ball-striker and putting auteur, but he's got some stuff that could put him in threatening competition come the weekend.

Grab him for +14000 at bet365 sportsbook, as he's as low as +10000 elsewhere.

2025 3M Open Prop Bets

You can find more winners with value by digging in to our full 3M predictions with Dimers Pro.

In addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got placement bet value to consider for this week's 2025 3M Open as well.

Sam Burns Top 10 (+230 on DraftKings) 

A quick look at the tournament favorite (and our model's) who holds no value to win, but gets a fair price there.

Burns is coming off a sluggish pair of tournaments overseas but was on hot run before that - five consecutive Top 20s including a 2nd-place playoff finish. 

In three appearances at TPC Twin Cities, Burns has a T7, T32 and T12 and enters this tournament with the top-ranked putter, 30th-ranked driving and a very respectable 19th-ranked Birdie Average.

He's not a massive value, but at +230 to finish Top 10, the books say he has a 30% chance while the DimersBOT gives him 31.3%.

Taylor Pendrith Top Canadian (+140 on DraftKings) 

For our final pick of the tournament, we're turning to the Nationality market, which has a ton of opportunities this week with the big names sidelined.

Taylor Pendrith is favored in this market, but a look at our model's projections for the full tournament suggest he has bigger lead than maybe the books believe.

Behind Pendrith at +140 are Mackenzie Hughes (+280) and Adam Svensson (+550). Not only does Pendrith crack our Top 5 overall win probabilities with Hughes an Co. outside the Top 30 and beyond, he draws a 39.5% probability to finish Top 20 or better.  Hughes gets just 15.3% and Svensson just 4.9%. 

DimersBOT says this one isn't even close.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.