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Houston vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Nashville MLS game on September 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
Houston
1
3
Sep 28, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
Nashville
Sep 28, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
H. Mukhtar (2')
S. Surridge (48')
A. Najar (50')
E. Sviatchenko (9')
Junior Urso (40')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NSH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Zimmerman replaces J. Shaffelburg
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces E. Bartlow
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces Artur
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces S. Surridge
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Boyd replaces H. Mukhtar
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces Junior Urso
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces E. Ponce
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces P. Yazbek
50'
Goal scored for Nashville SC by A. Najar
1-3
48'
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
1-2
40'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Junior Urso, assisted by L. Ennali
1-1
38'
Yellow Card
P. Yazbek (Nashville SC) cautioned
15'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces O. Lingr
13'
Yellow Card
A. Najar (Nashville SC) cautioned
9'
Red Card
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
2'
Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by A. Muyl
0-1

Game Prediction Article

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Houston vs. Nashville: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: GEODIS Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Houston +380, Nashville -125, Draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+118)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Houston: 19.3%
  • Nashville: 58.6%
  • Draw: 22.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 0-1 Nashville, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Nashville a win probability of 58.6%, while Houston has a win probability of 19.3%. The chance of a draw is 22.1%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. Nashville predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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