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Aston Villa vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Burnley Premier League game on October 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
vs.
Oct 5, 1PM Villa Park
Aston Villa
Oct 5, 1PM Villa Park
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 2:15PM, Sep 28
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
Burnley BUR
14.5%
BetRivers
Draw
20.1%
BetRivers
Aston Villa VIL
65.4%
Caesars
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers

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Aston Villa vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Burnley
  • Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa -180, Burnley +500, Draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-124/+102)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 65.4%
  • Burnley: 14.5%
  • Draw: 20.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 2-0 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 65.4%, while Burnley has a win probability of 14.5%. The chance of a draw is 20.1%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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