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Nevada vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Nevada vs. Fresno State NCAAF game on October 4, 2025. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Nevada
Predicted score
16
:
30
Oct 5, 2:30AM Valley Children's Stadium
Fresno State
Oct 5, 2:30AM Valley Children's Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 3:44PM, Sep 29
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Nevada
Nevada +14.5
Spread
53%
47%
Fresno State
Nevada NEV
Nevada +14.5
Spread
53%
47%
Fresno State FRES

Game Prediction Article

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Nevada vs. Fresno State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nevada vs. Fresno State
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Valley Children's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Fresno State favored at -14.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nevada +460, Fresno State -535

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nevada: 15%
  • Fresno State: 85%

Dimers.com's predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Nevada 16-30 Fresno State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Nevada a win probability of 15%, while Fresno State has a win probability of 85%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Fresno State is more likely to beat Nevada in CFB action at Valley Children's Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nevada vs. Fresno State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

Our in-depth analysis includes college football player props and college football futures, as well as constantly updated college football odds and the latest college football news.

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